Work overview

Section 01 of 05

Key Points

Community-based health and social care demand associated with frailty in people aged 50 and over in England 2025–40: routine data analyses and simulation modelling

Bronagh Walsh, Carole Fogg, Tracey England, Sally Brailsford, Martin J Vernon, Peter Griffiths, Lee-Ann Fenge, Gulam Muktadir, Evgeny Galimov, Abigail Barkham, and Lyndsey Williams · 2026

Contents

Section 01 of 05

  1. 01Key Points
  2. 02Background
  3. 03Results
  4. 04Discussion
  5. 05Conclusions
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Work overview

Section 1 of 5

Key Points

Bronagh Walsh, Carole Fogg, Tracey England, Sally Brailsford, Martin J Vernon, Peter Griffiths, Lee-Ann Fenge, Gulam Muktadir, Evgeny Galimov, Abigail Barkham, and Lyndsey Williams · about 1 minutes

  • Community-based health and social care use associated with frailty will increase in future.
  • Reducing frailty incidence and progression could reduce community service demand against baseline.
  • Reductions in demand from lower incidence or progression are offset by increased demand due to population ageing.